Archive for category pop

Dream come true: Homework banned and school days delayed

The Wall Street Journal this week reports that, for the sake of “student wellness”, school districts across the USA are now banning homework [1].

The U.S. Department of Education figures that, on average, high-school students (those without the “get of jail free” card) spend about 8 hours per week on extracurricular assignments. Girls spend an hour more than the norm and boys an hour less, thus there’s a two-hour gender gap on homework. (You be the judge as to what this implies on relative intelligence. I don’t dare!)

Naturally, parents with ambitions for their son or daughter do not favor this trend to relieve academic pressure. Many evidently move their child to private schools that load on several more hours of homework every week. That would be a blow—being yanked away from all your friends at Easy Street High.

It would be worth it if more homework leads to a significantly better education. WSJ suggests that this may not be so for elementary students. That seems sensible. But what about high school? The author of The Battle Over Homework, Duke professor Harris Cooper, says that studies show a positive correlation of homework with achievement [2]. He advises that high-schoolers put in at least 90 minutes a night but beyond 2.5 hours the returns diminish (and any chance of a social life).

Meantime, other school districts, perhaps some that ban homework (that would be double dope!), have moved back their start times to provide more sleep for students. For the heads up, see these Shots from the December 12th NPR Health News on Sleepless No More In Seattle.

I can only say that my quarter of 8 am organic chemistry as a freshman at university did not go well. My notes provided a record of frequent nodding off by my pen trailing off every few lines. That was before I discovered coffee and became addicted to rising early.

1 Down With Homework, Say U.S. School Districts

2 Does Homework Improve Academic Achievement?

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Models now running the world

Models will run the world according to this recent op-ed by the Wall Street Journal.  This sounds a lot less alarming than a prior essay on “Why Software is Eating the World”.   However, one (software) enables the other (modeling).

Models are good in my estimation—beautiful both in mathematical aspects and for their double meaning for those who wear clothes well.  For example, the weather-casters often debate during hurricane season whether the American or the European models will prove most accurate.  Taking “models” in the fashionable sense, it’s no contest—the winner is American Karly Kloss, who’s Kode with Klossy camps empower girls to code.  She is the cross over—a model who can model.

“In the hunt for competitive advantage, model-driven companies will accelerate away from the pack.”

– Steven A. Cohen and Matthew W. Granade

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Fireworks that do not go Fourth deserve a resounding fizgig

My word for today is “fizgig”, a type of firework that makes a loud hiss. I consider this an onomatopoeic word, given the “fiz” characterizes the sound.

Residents of Saint Paul, where I grew up, must be fizzing their mayor today after he canceled the city’s fireworks this year due to budget concerns. Boo, hiss!

More commonly, fireworks are frowned upon due to safety concerns. For example, a Florida television station broadcast a warning yesterday that Independence Day revelers should be careful not to “be a statistic” by shooting off fireworks. I don’t get this. Isn’t being a statistic a good thing?

An enterprising fireworks vendor turned the statistics around in a very creative way by touting a long-term trend toward fewer injuries per pound of pyrotechnics—citing a decrease of more than 50% since 1994. I find this fellows numerical and sentimental arguments in favor of fireworks very compelling: Check it out here.

“It ought to be solemnized with Pomp and Parade, with Shews, Games, Sports, Guns, Bells, Bonfires and Illuminations from one End of this Continent to the other from this Time forward forever more.”

– John Adams, July 3, 1776

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Are you one of the elite 10% who can work out this test of logic?

Four cards are laid out before you, each with a letter on one side and a number on the other.  You see E, 2, 5 and F.  Which cards should you turn over that will prove the following rule: If there is an E on one side, the number on the other side must be a 5?  See the answer by Manil Suri, Professor at University of Maryland, in this April 15 New York Times article that asks “Does Math Make You Smarter?”.

As to whether math really does make you smarter, the answer remains unclear.  However, those who do well with numbers make far more money.  That is not surprising, but the multiplier may be.  See this U.S. News report (or not if you failed the test above) for the statistics.

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High-tech brain-wave devices that make you very sleepy, plus other innovations now being tested at experimental hotels

While watching CBS News the morning of March 26, this report on “smart hotels” caught my eye—not so much for concerns about privacy, but more due to knowing these came by very clever experimentation by Marriot and other leading innkeepers. Perhaps not purely by coincidence, just a week before being featured in this broadcast, Marriot posted a job opening for the Manager of Digital Analytics. In similar postings by them over the past several years I see the hotel seeking someone able to “understand and apply best practices for designing statistical experiments.”

The funny thing is that I was once a subject for a factorial design by Marriott. This happened in the early 1980s during their development of the Courtyard. For a discount off my bill (I think $20—a fair amount of money back then), I got sent from room to room with various combinations and permutations of desks, chairs, bathroom layouts, etc.—so many that I became a bit bewildered trying to sort out what really hit the spot for me as a business traveler. Anyways, being into designed experiments, I enjoyed being a very small part (one data point!) of this Marriott success story in product development.

Nowadays Marriott tests their new concepts at the M Beta hotel in Charlotte seen here. Buttons throughout the property register resident’s reactions and impressions. Read more about these feedback devices and check out photos of recent innovations in this report by Innovation Leader.

My favorite hotelier, Hilton, also experiments on their rooms and services as you can see in this article by USA Today. At their Innovation Gallery in northern Virginia Hilton you can strap on a VR device and take a tour of a guestrooms of the future. Whoohoo!

As the CBS report noted, some of the new features coming at these high-tech hotels do create queasiness for them being so intrusive on one’s personal space. For example, I will take a pass on Hilton’s NuCalm device (not at all related to what’s pictured), which purportedly sends its wearers into 20 minutes of dozing that feels like three hours of deep sleep, thus evaporating stress and promoting utter relaxation. Leave my brain be, please!

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Twitter far fitter for false news than the truth

The word coming straight from MIT News (no lie!*) is that Twitter facilitates falsehoods “farther, faster, deeper, and more broadly than the truth”. People are 70% more likely to retweet wrong news than a true story.

“False news is more novel, and people are more likely to share novel information.”

– Professor Sinan Aral, MIT Sloan School of Management–co-author of The spread of true and false news online  (Science, Mar 9, 2018).

We all know that it’s human nature to enjoy being the first to share previously unknown (but possibly false) information. This is nothing new; for example, in 1710 Jonathan Swift observed that “Falsehood flies, and the Truth comes limping after it.” However, the technology of today allows (to paraphrase comedian Tracy Morgan) false news to travel at the speed of light, whereas what’s true continues to flow, as always, like molasses.

*Research project finds humans, not bots, are primarily responsible for spread of misleading information .

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Statistics and advice on New Year’s resolutions

  • The Statistic Brain offers these two morsels on New Year’s resolutions:
    • Losing weight leads the list of at over 20%. Self-improvement comes in a distant second.
    • Less than 10% of people achieve their resolutions. However, people who make resolutions are 10 times more likely to attain their goals than people who don’t.
  • “Ditch New Year’s Resolution Day” will be observed on January 17—the most common day that people give up on their goals according to Psychology Today. They recommend going with monthly resolutions.
  • Experimental results reported in this article on “The science of keeping your New Year’s resolution” from yesterday’s Washington Post provide good news for those who make it through one entire month without being derailed from their resolution. It turns out that by doing so, along with being willing to forgive yourself for a few slip-ups, you are likely to succeed over the long run. (P.S. I recommend that you follow the link above and check into two suggestions that will enhance your success for building up good habits:  ‘”Piggybacking” and “Temptation Bundling”.)

All the best in 2018 for accomplishing whatever goals you hope to achieve.

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2017—A prime year for statistics

To cap off the year, I present half a dozen wacky new statistics:

  • 2017 was a “sexy” prime, that is, 6 years beyond the last one in 2011 (six in latin is “sex”).
  • By 2050 the plastic trash floating in the oceans will outweigh the fish. (Source: Robert Samuelson, “The Top 10 Stats of 2017”, Washington Post, 12/27/17.)
  • University of Warwick statistician Nathan Cunningham debunked the “i-before-e except after c” rule based on evaluating 350,000 English words: The ratio of “ie” to “ei” is exactly the same for the after-c words as it is for all words in general. Weird science!
  • After digging into data compiled by the National UFO Reporting Center (NUFORC), Sam Monfort, a doctoral student in Human Factors and Applied Cognition at George Mason University, concluded that UFOs are visiting at all-time highs. Americans sight UFOs at a rate that exceeds the worldwide median by 300 times. Far out!
  • In May, an Australian cat named Omar was confirmed by the BBC as the world’s biggest at nearly 4 feet long and over 30 pounds. My oh meow!
  • Nearly a thousand people dressed up like penguins at Youngstown, Ohio this October to break the world’s record. Coincidentally, National Geographic reported on December 13 that the fossilized remains of a giant, man-sized penguin, were found in New Zealand. Eerie!

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Weapons of mass destruction scaled down for classroom warfare

During our freshman year in my Christian Brothers military high school, my buddy Bob sat behind me in first-hour home-room in prime position to snipe spit balls at me.  When I reacted to the sting by backlashing at him, the teacher—Brother Thomas—would admonish me for disrupting the class.  Devious!  Nevertheless, I had to hand it to Bob for his ingenuity for classroom warfare—my superior by far.

I shudder to think what Bob could have done with the technology revealed by John Austin in his trilogy on Mini Weapons of Mass Destruction , which begins with spitball warfare and culminates in siege weapons of the dark ages.  For example, check out this video of a classroom firearm sent to me by a PhD student from the Institute of Technology of Buenos Aires.

Inspired by Austin’s books, this Argentinian and conspirators set up a designed experiment that varied three factors:

  1. The length of the arrow (short 20 cm – long 25 cm)
  2. The width of the “barrel” (narrow 11 mm – wide 17 mm)
  3. The initial position of the arrow (p0 the firing pin will slightly hit the arrow – p1 the firing pin will push the arrow along the last 5 cm)

Bob’s spitballs did little harm in comparison to this weapon.  At this rate, turtle-necks will come back into fashion, only now being made from Kevlar.  Anyone who makes it through school at this rate will certainly be the fittest for surviving and ready for the dog-eat-dog corporate world.

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What happens if you walk backward while carrying a cup of coffee?

One would assume that walking backward with coffee, especially when it’s piping hot, would be nearly as dangerous as running with scissors. Not so, according to the 2017 Ig Nobel Prize winning study for Fluid Dynamics. According to Korean physicist Jiwon Han, you will likely spill less walking backward than forward. However, your chances of tripping, or crashing into a colleague (also walking backward with coffee, ha ha) “drastically increase”.*

“Rarely do we manage to carry coffee around without spilling it once. In fact, due to the very commonness of the phenomenon, we tend to dismiss questioning it beyond simply exclaiming: ‘Jenkins! You have too much coffee in your cup!’”

– Jiwon Han

As reported in this “SmartNews” post by Smithsonian Magazine, Han advises a claw-like grip on top of your cup, rather than using the handle. Other tips from University of California researchers, reported here by LiveScience, are to gradually accelerate to a very slow walk, thus avoiding disruptive oscillations, and keep your eyes on the cup, not the ground.

My secret to stop spillage is to use a very large cup and fill it only two-thirds of the way, e.g., 12 ounces of hot coffee in a 16-ounce Styrofoam cup.  The ultimate solution is to use a spill-proof, lidded container. However, I prefer drinking from a cup, if possible.

*(Source: Chemical and Engineering News, 9/18/17, Newscripts—“Curating quirky science since 1943.”)

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